{"id":10515,"date":"2026-03-10T19:13:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T19:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/bitcoin-s2f-model-says-btc-price-is-headed-to-500000-heres-when\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T19:13:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T19:13:05","slug":"bitcoin-s2f-model-says-btc-price-is-headed-to-500000-heres-when","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/bitcoin-s2f-model-says-btc-price-is-headed-to-500000-heres-when\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin S2F Model Says BTC Price Is Headed To $500,000, Here\u2019s When"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin could be on track for a massive long-term rally if one of the most interesting valuation models in the crypto industry is still valid. According to pseudonymous analyst PlanB, the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggests that Bitcoin could average around $500,000 during the current halving cycle between 2024 and 2028.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The bold projection comes even as Bitcoin is showing no signs of trading<\/a> at that level in recent days, but recent price action in the past 24 hours has seen it reclaiming the $70,000 price level.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s When Bitcoin Will Reach $500,000<\/h2>\n

PlanB\u2019s projection for Bitcoin<\/a> is not that the cryptocurrency\u2019s price action instantly jumps to $50,000, but that the entire post-halving cycle from 2024 through 2028 could average around that level if the Stock-to-Flow framework continues to play out as predicted. That is a much more aggressive call than simply predicting a cycle top, because an average of $500,000 would imply that Bitcoin would eventually spend meaningful time well above that price level at some stage of the cycle.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The current Bitcoin price setup is a test of whether the leading cryptocurrency is deeply undervalued at today\u2019s levels or whether the S2F model has finally broken down for good.<\/p>\n

The chart attached to PlanB’s technical analysis helps explain this prediction of a $500,000 price tag for Bitcoin. It overlays Bitcoin\u2019s price history with the 200-week moving average, realized cost price, RSI coloring, and a staircase-like Stock-to-Flow path. The dotted S2F path for the 2024-2028 halving window rises to around $500,000 in 2027.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Bitcoin S2F Model. Source: Plan B On X<\/a><\/p>\n

What\u2019s Going On With Bitcoin?<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin has spent the past week swinging between recovery and pressure, a stretch that saw the asset trade above $73,000 on March 5 before falling back toward the mid-$60,000s and then rebounding again above $70,000 at the time of writing. That uncertain context of price action is what makes PlanB\u2019s latest Stock-to-Flow price prediction stand out, because it takes strong conviction to predict an average price of $500,000 for Bitcoin.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The recent price action places Bitcoin just above two long-watched structural supports: the realized cost price and the 200-week moving average. Both of these supports are also visible in PlanB\u2019s Stock-to-Flow model chart shared above. That does not automatically prove a six-figure or seven-figure breakout is next, but it does support the view that the entire cycle structure has not fully collapsed.<\/p>\n

As it stands, about 43% of Bitcoin addresses are holding at a loss, with the majority being short-term holders yet to find a bottom, despite it being down by over 45% from its October 2025 peak.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin could be on track for a massive long-term rally if one of the most interesting valuation models in the crypto industry is still valid. According to pseudonymous analyst PlanB, the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggests that Bitcoin could average around $500,000 during the current halving cycle between 2024 and 2028.\u00a0 The bold projection comes even…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10516,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[56,55,69,61,120,121,70,62],"class_list":["post-10515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusd","tag-btcusdt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10515","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10515"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10515\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}