{"id":2118,"date":"2024-12-23T19:13:09","date_gmt":"2024-12-23T19:13:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/whats-the-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-right-now-analyst-explains\/"},"modified":"2024-12-23T19:13:09","modified_gmt":"2024-12-23T19:13:09","slug":"whats-the-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-right-now-analyst-explains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/whats-the-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-right-now-analyst-explains\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s The Worst Case Scenario For Bitcoin Right Now? Analyst Explains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In his latest <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/rektcapital\/status\/1870614968330047984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">video<\/a> published on December 21, crypto analyst Rekt Capital tried to answer the question \u201cWhat\u2019s The Worst Case Scenario For Bitcoin Right Now?\u201d. After reaching a new all-time high at $108,374 on December 17, the BTC price is down more than -11%.<\/p>\n<h2>How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go?<\/h2>\n<p>Rekt Capital put the Bitcoin price pullback in a historical perspective, underscoring the historical importance of weeks 6, 7, and 8 in a \u201cprice discovery uptrend.\u201d Drawing upon past cycles such as 2013, 2016\u20132017, and 2021, he explained that Bitcoin has a strong tendency to correct during these specific windows, with some dips reaching as steep as 34% or even higher.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnderstanding these weeks is crucial because they tend to be problematic for Bitcoin,\u201d Rekt Capital stated, referencing past cycles where significant downturns occurred within this timeframe. For instance, in week 7 of the 2013 cycle, Bitcoin experienced a dramatic 75% pullback over 13 weeks. Similarly, the 2016-2017 period saw a 34% decline in week 8, underscoring the recurring vulnerability during these specific weeks.<\/p>\n<p>As of the current cycle, Bitcoin has undergone a 10%+ retracement, bringing its price into a historically critical support zone at $96,537 on the weekly chart. Rekt Capital emphasized the importance of this support level, noting, \u201cThis area of historical support has enabled the move to $108,000.\u201d He cautioned that failure to maintain this support could trigger a more severe correction down to $89,830.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-666317 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-23-074402.png?resize=1842%2C1177\" alt=\"Bitcoin price analysis weekly chart\" width=\"1842\" height=\"1177\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Examining the price action of the last few days, Rekt Capital pointed out the emergence of a bearish engulfing candle in the weekly timeframe\u2014a technical indicator often associated with potential reversals. \u201cWe\u2019re losing resistances that turned into support,\u201d he observed. This loss signifies a potential transition into a corrective period, as the price struggles to maintain its upward trajectory.<\/p>\n<p>Rekt Capital also pointed out the importance of maintaining the 5-week technical line in his analysis. \u201cIf we lose this 5-week technical uptrend and the orange trend line, it would be mounting evidence that we might be transitioning into a corrective period,\u201d he warned.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-666315 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Gfag5F_X0AAKCnI.jpg?resize=1794%2C1266\" alt=\"Bitcoin weekly chart\" width=\"1794\" height=\"1266\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, he addressed the CME gap between the $78,000 and $80,000 price levels, a critical area that has remained unfilled. \u201cDelving into 26%, 27%, 28% dips could fill the entire CME gap,\u201d Rekt Capital noted.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, CME gaps have the tendency to get filled whereas there are a few ones which have never been filled.<br \/>\nDespite all cautionary signals, Rekt Capital maintains a bullish stance in the long-term \u201cThese pullbacks are what enable future uptrends in the parabolic phase of the cycle,\u201d he explained. Drawing from previous cycles, he illustrated how corrections have historically provided the necessary &#8220;breather&#8221; for the market.<\/p>\n<p>In the 2021 cycle, for example, Bitcoin experienced a 16% pullback in week 6 and an 8% dip in week 8, yet the overall trend continued upward. Similarly, the current 10% retracement, while significant, could serve as a preparatory phase for the next leg of price discovery.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC traded at $95,000.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-666316 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/BTCUSDT_2024-12-23_07-38-42.png?resize=3628%2C1675\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"3628\" height=\"1675\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In his latest video published on December 21, crypto analyst Rekt Capital tried to answer the question \u201cWhat\u2019s The Worst Case Scenario For Bitcoin Right Now?\u201d. After reaching a new all-time high at $108,374 on December 17, the BTC price is down more than -11%. How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Rekt Capital put the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[56,55,69,409,61,120,121,1322,1323],"class_list":["post-2118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bitcoin-price-anaysis","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-how-low-can-bitcoin-go","tag-how-low-can-bitcoin-price-go"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2118","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2118"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2118\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}