{"id":6773,"date":"2025-08-26T18:13:12","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T18:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/is-105000-the-bitcoin-bull-run-killer-or-just-noise-top-analyst-explains\/"},"modified":"2025-08-26T18:13:12","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T18:13:12","slug":"is-105000-the-bitcoin-bull-run-killer-or-just-noise-top-analyst-explains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/is-105000-the-bitcoin-bull-run-killer-or-just-noise-top-analyst-explains\/","title":{"rendered":"Is $105,000 The Bitcoin Bull Run Killer Or Just Noise? Top Analyst Explains"},"content":{"rendered":"

The question reverberating across \u2014whether a decisive break below $105,000 would end the Bitcoin bull cycle\u2014drew a crisp rebuttal from popular market analyst CrediBULL Crypto (@CredibleCrypto). In a pair of late-night posts to his 476,000 followers, he argued that while $105,000 is a key threshold for the \u201cmost aggressive\u201d upside path, a loss of that level would not, by itself, terminate the higher-time-frame uptrend.<\/p>\n

\u201cNo, if $105,000 is lost it’s not \u2018over\u2019 it just means the most aggressive\/bullish scenario is out of play and a deeper correction is a lot more likely,\u201d he wrote<\/a>. \u201cHTF structure isn’t broken until\/unless $74,000 is lost\u2014all explained in my last Youtube vid so before you ask \u2018why so low for HTF invalidation\u2019 go watch the vid :).\u201d<\/p>\n

In a second post he reiterated the pivot that has framed his outlook for weeks: \u201c$107-$110,000 has always been the MOST pivotal point on the BTC chart\u2026 This is the most likely zone for a full on reversal\u2014it doesn\u2019t mean it is guaranteed of course but this is the last place it makes sense to start flipping bearish.\u201d<\/p>\n

How Low Could Bitcoin Price Go?<\/h2>\n

The posts point back to a YouTube video<\/a> published two weeks ago, where the analyst maps three paths for Bitcoin\u2019s next leg. Two envision an upside reversal in or just below the current $107,000\u2013$110,000 area, while a third allows for a deeper corrective sweep without violating the secular uptrend.<\/p>\n

He is explicit that trend invalidation for the cycle sits much lower\u2014he cites the \u201cmid-$70,000s\u201d as the line in the sand, and, in one passage, places formal invalidation at $74,000\u2013$75,000\u2014because that\u2019s where the prior high-time-frame impulse originated and where the market would, in Elliott-wave terms, erase the larger five-wave structure. That framing is why losing $105,000 would mark a deterioration in momentum rather than a terminal break in structure.<\/p>\n

Inside his framework, \u201cScenario 1\u201d\u2014the idea that price is still working through a compact fourth-wave pause inside an already active impulse\u2014has, by his own admission, grown unlikely. The corrective chop has lasted too long and retraced too deep relative to its second-wave analogue; by classical proportionality, that makes it the wrong degree for a fourth wave. The technical red line for that scenario was $110,000; once reclaimed and then overrun to the downside during the correction, the count\u2019s symmetry broke down.<\/p>\n

\u201cScenario 2,\u201d his preferred bullish configuration, casts the rally off roughly $105,000 as the first completed five-wave impulse of a new advance. In this reading, the market is currently tracing a wave-two pullback with invalidation squarely at $105k.<\/p>\n

The implication is arithmetic as much as it is structural: if wave one spanned approximately $20,000 top to bottom, a standard third wave would be larger, pushing toward at least the mid-$130,000s before a fourth-wave pause and a terminal fifth carry the move into the $150,000-plus region. This is why he characterizes $107,000\u2013110,000 as \u201cthe best R:R for longs,\u201d the last high-probability staging area for a reversal before invalidation.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

\u201cScenario 3\u201d keeps the broader May-to-present correction intact. Here the pop above range highs was corrective rather than impulsive\u2014what technicians call a three-leg rise with overlap\u2014and the market still owes a deeper sweep into demand.<\/p>\n

He differentiates two shapes: a running flat that defends the June\/July lows and finds support in a purple band between ~$103,000 and ~$98,000, and an expanded flat that undercuts those lows and tests the daily demand block that \u201cstarted at basically 98k,\u201d which price \u201cfront-ran\u2026 at 98.2k\u201d before bouncing. In both cases the higher-time-frame thesis is unchanged, because the structural invalidation remains far below at $74k\u2013$75k.<\/p>\n

At press time, BTC traded around $110,019 after hitting an intraday low at $108,666.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The question reverberating across \u2014whether a decisive break below $105,000 would end the Bitcoin bull cycle\u2014drew a crisp rebuttal from popular market analyst CrediBULL Crypto (@CredibleCrypto). In a pair of late-night posts to his 476,000 followers, he argued that while $105,000 is a key threshold for the \u201cmost aggressive\u201d upside path, a loss of that…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6774,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[56,55,69,61,120,121],"class_list":["post-6773","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6773","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6773"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6773\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}