![\"Total](\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-03-075834.png?resize=1024%2C552\")
<\/p>\n
The analyst is explicit that this setup is conditional on macro \u201cingredients\u201d that enable risk to be repriced. \u201cWe are going to need to see lower inflation or flat inflation, a softening labor market but not a crashing labor market, and softening growth but not crashing growth,\u201d he said. That mix, in his view, would allow the Federal Reserve to shift the balance of risk toward employment, pull down the two-year yield, lift rate-cut expectations, and perhaps curtail the \u201clast little bit\u201d of quantitative tightening\u2014\u201cmaybe even have a neutral to expanding balance sheet.\u201d With \u201ca lot of macro data coming over the next three weeks\u201d and the FOMC set for September 17, he argues Q4 is the critical window. \u201cIt\u2019s all lining up right now\u2026 we just need that last push.\u201d<\/p>\n
On the weekly linear timeframe, Kevin points to indicator symmetry with the 2021 liftoff. He cites a fresh weekly buy on Market Cipher and says its \u201cmoney flow\u201d profile is tracing the same contour as the prior cycle\u2019s spring. He adds that \u201cwhale money flow bottomed out at the exact same level as it did in 2021,\u201d the MACD \u201ccrossed to the upside at the exact same level,\u201d and the stochastic RSI has already surged to 96. In 2021, he notes, \u201conce we broke the 80 level and stayed above it\u2026 you got your most aggressive price action.\u201d The implication is that a push toward the \u201c100 level\u201d could coincide with the period of maximum upside impulse, as it did during the last cycle\u2019s early thrust.<\/p>\n
He then zooms out to the monthly log chart of Total3\/BTC, where he locates what he describes as an eight-year support band around \u201cthe 0.27 to 0.24 area,\u201d a long down-trendline of resistance now meeting \u201ca higher low structure,\u201d and a momentum backdrop he characterizes as classically divergent.<\/p>\n
On Market Cipher\u2019s monthly momentum waves, \u201chigher lows, higher lows, higher lows, while price action made lower lows\u2026 that is a bullish divergence,\u201d he said, stressing that this signal is most potent at major historical supports. The monthly RSI, he adds, appears to be \u201cpeeking our heads out\u201d of a multi-year downtrend channel for the first time since the 2021 top. Meanwhile, the monthly stochastic RSI has carved a \u201cfull-blown V-shaped turn\u201d up from near zero but has \u201chasn\u2019t even come close to breaking the 80 level yet,\u201d which in his framework is precisely when \u201cyou will not see your most bullish price action until you break the 80 level.\u201d<\/p>\n
Kevin places particular weight on a double-bottom motif in his monthly L-MACD read, calling it \u201cthe same exact bottoming pattern\u201d that formed between June and December 2020. \u201cWhen you double bottom and make a basically a double bottom\u2026 game on,\u201d he said, arguing that the renewed cross echoes the momentum inflection that preceded the altcoin surge into early 2021. He also notes that July and June printed a two-step low similar to the June\/December 2020 pair that marked the prior regime shift.<\/p>\n
![\"Crypto](\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-03-080042.png?resize=1024%2C565\")
<\/p>\n
Crypto’s Biggest Run Ever?<\/h2>\n
The through-line is that breadth is beginning to turn at a structural level while momentum gauges transition from deeply negative to positive across timeframes. He underscores that the signal is appearing in tandem across linear weekly and log monthly views, which he describes as unprecedented in its alignment. \u201cThere\u2019s never been a time where these two charts have looked the way that they look in tandem on log and linear on the weekly, on the monthly,\u201d he said. If that symmetry holds, he expects \u201cthe altcoin market cap to start stealing dominance away from Bitcoin at a higher faster pace than we\u2019ve seen since the previous altcoin season.\u201d<\/p>\n
Although his thesis centers on Total3\/BTC, Kevin frames it within his earlier, well-telegraphed Ethereum calls from May\/June, arguing that \u201cETH\u2026 has hit a new all-time high\u201d and that \u201cthe bottom is in on ETH versus Bitcoin, ETH dominance, and obviously the ETHUSD chart.\u201d He presents the altcoin rotation as a sequel: \u201cVery similar to how ETH versus Bitcoin and ETH dominance and even ETHUSD were setting up before it made its big run against Bitcoin,\u201d with Total3 now showing \u201ctwo months in a row of outperformance\u201d from a major support band\u2014a combination he had highlighted in Ethereum before its advance.<\/p>\n
Even with the technicals aligned, Kevin is careful to caveat timelines and seasonality. He characterizes September as \u201cusually weak,\u201d with the more forceful phase of any rotation likely contingent on macro confirmation into Q4. \u201cThe charts can precede the news,\u201d he said, \u201chowever, that\u2019s never guaranteed.\u201d For now, he sees a maturing base, a reclaimed range after a capitulative spring, and momentum structures that, in prior cycles, marked the boundary between grinding bottoms and impulsive advances. \u201cIf there was ever going to be a time that it was going to happen\u2026 now\u2019s the time,\u201d he concluded, while reiterating the dependency on incoming data: \u201cI don\u2019t know what the macro data is going to look like, but I know what this chart looks like\u2026 watch out for Total3.\u201d<\/p>\n
At press time, TOTAL3 stood at $1.04 trillion.<\/p>\n
![\"TOTAL3\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/TOTAL3_2025-09-03_08-45-53.png?resize=1024%2C471\")
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) argues that altcoins are replaying the same structural script that preceded the 2021 \u201caltseason,\u201d this time on the ratio of the altcoin market cap excluding Ethereum and stablecoins versus Bitcoin (often proxied as \u201cTotal3\/BTC\u201d). In a video posted late on September 2, he contends that confluence across weekly and…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6931,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[94,1220,34,36,43,95,33,1053],"class_list":["post-6930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cryptocurrency-market-news","tag-altcoin","tag-altcoin-season","tag-altcoins","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-cryptocurrency-market-news","tag-total3"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6930","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6930"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6930\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6930"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}