{"id":8155,"date":"2025-11-06T19:13:05","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T19:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/dogecoin-bull-run-ends-if-rally-doesnt-start-now-analyst-warns\/"},"modified":"2025-11-06T19:13:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T19:13:05","slug":"dogecoin-bull-run-ends-if-rally-doesnt-start-now-analyst-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/dogecoin-bull-run-ends-if-rally-doesnt-start-now-analyst-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"Dogecoin Bull Run Ends If Rally Doesn\u2019t Start Now, Analyst Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"

Crypto analyst VisionPulsed says Dogecoin\u2019s window for a cycle-defining advance has narrowed to weeks, arguing that a failure to pivot higher in November would likely end the current bull-side setup and shift the conversation to downside risk in 2026.<\/p>\n

In a late-November 5 video<\/a>, the analyst framed Bitcoin\u2019s weekly moving average as the near-term arbiter of trend and, by extension, Dogecoin\u2019s fate: \u201cBy the end of the week, we need to see Bitcoin back over $103,000\u2013$104,000. If that ends up happening, then you could start pushing the idea\u2026 we could start talking about a Dogecoin rally. If we close below $102k, 100k even, that\u2019s your first confirmation that it is actually a bear market.<\/p>\n

Dogecoin Needs Immediate Reversal<\/h2>\n

VisionPulsed anchored the Dogecoin outlook to a broader read on market structure and cross-asset momentum. He noted that when mapping the \u201ctop-10 dominance\u201d basket ex-stablecoins, the market has \u201cfully retraced the alt season from 2021.\u201d Hitting the upper band of that multi-year channel \u201cdoesn\u2019t mean it\u2019s the top,\u201d he cautioned, but it reinforces how mature the advance has become. The analyst emphasized that he is not declaring the start of altseason based on this single indicator; rather, he is situating Dogecoin risk in a market that has already re-tested a critical historical boundary.<\/p>\n

The immediate gating factor, he said, remains Bitcoin\u2019s weekly moving average and a cluster of corroborating signals. \u201cAll eyes are still on $103,000,\u201d VisionPulsed said, pointing to a supertrend read that, so far, mirrors a March episode when price briefly broke below but never closed under it, avoiding a formal sell trigger. He contrasted that with 2021, when confirmed closes below the same tool delivered unambiguous sell signals.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

The distinction matters because Dogecoin\u2019s high-beta behavior to Bitcoin tends to compress timelines for both rallies and retracements, and any decisive break and close beneath the moving average would erase the already tight window for a Dogecoin impulse.<\/p>\n

Momentum, in the analyst\u2019s framing, is \u201cso bearish that it\u2019s screaming the end of the market cycle is near,\u201d even though the monthly MACD has not crossed down yet. That lag on higher-timeframe oscillators leaves room for a \u201cvery little rally,\u201d which in previous cycles still permitted outsized alt moves.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn this bull market\u2026 every time we\u2019ve bounced off the moving average, we\u2019ve broken the prior high,\u201d he said, making the conditional case that if the trend holds and Bitcoin reclaims the level into the weekly close, a final Dogecoin push remains possible. But he refused to extend the timeline beyond the near term: \u201cI would argue that if we don\u2019t actually go back up in November, it\u2019s probably not happening.\u201d<\/p>\n

The calendar overlay is doing heavy lifting. VisionPulsed explored a scenario in which Dogecoin could peak in January, but stressed the math now strains credibility unless upside starts immediately. \u201cEighty-one days from now would be January\u2026 it\u2019s starting to get to the point where it\u2019s almost unachievable because you don\u2019t want to keep stretching this out to January, February, March. At some point, you have to say it\u2019s not happening.\u201d The refusal to \u201cmove the goalposts\u201d defines his base case: the bull thesis survives only if November prints a directional turn.<\/p>\n

From a pattern perspective, he flagged a head-and-shoulders-like structure on Dogecoin and introduced a vivid downside marker he has used in prior updates. \u201cThat\u2019s why this little pig is down here,\u201d he said, referring to a graphic that labels a potential capitulation zone around $0.05 to $0.06.<\/p>\n

\"Dogecoin<\/p>\n

If Bitcoin loses the weekly moving average and confirms the breakdown with a close, \u201cthe pig only is in play once Bitcoin is below that moving average,\u201d and Dogecoin\u2019s primary target would revert to \u201cfive to six cents.\u201d On the Bitcoin side, he framed a bear-market base case of 40,000\u201350,000 on the assumption that both upside and downside retracements are shrinking versus prior cycles, implying \u201cnot 77%\u2026 you\u2019d probably get 65% to 70%,\u201d which would align with a mid-40k trough.<\/p>\n

For Dogecoin specifically, he drew a clean decision tree. If Bitcoin reclaims $103,000\u2013$104,000 into the weekly close and confirms above the moving average, the Dogecoin rally window reopens, with a shot at a late-Q4 to January run. If Bitcoin closes below roughly $102,000 and sustains weakness, \u201cit\u2019s bear market time,\u201d Dogecoin likely gravitates to the \u201cpig at 5 cents,\u201d and \u201cit might even break the pig honestly\u201d depending on the severity of Bitcoin\u2019s drawdown.<\/p>\n

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.16297.<\/p>\n

\"Dogecoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Crypto analyst VisionPulsed says Dogecoin\u2019s window for a cycle-defining advance has narrowed to weeks, arguing that a failure to pivot higher in November would likely end the current bull-side setup and shift the conversation to downside risk in 2026. In a late-November 5 video, the analyst framed Bitcoin\u2019s weekly moving average as the near-term arbiter…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8156,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[221],"tags":[167,168,169,166,3938,227,170,171],"class_list":["post-8155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dogecoin","tag-doge","tag-doge-news","tag-doge-price","tag-dogecoin","tag-dogecoin-bear-market","tag-dogecoin-bull-run","tag-dogecoin-news","tag-dogecoin-price"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8155","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8155"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8155\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}