{"id":9391,"date":"2026-01-09T19:13:03","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T19:13:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/bitcoin-risks-drop-to-69000-if-pennant-support-breaks-analyst-warns\/"},"modified":"2026-01-09T19:13:03","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T19:13:03","slug":"bitcoin-risks-drop-to-69000-if-pennant-support-breaks-analyst-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/bitcoin-risks-drop-to-69000-if-pennant-support-breaks-analyst-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Risks Drop To $69,000 If Pennant Support Breaks, Analyst Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could risk a crash to $69,230 if the support level of this Bear Pennant doesn&#8217;t hold up.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Might Need To Hold Above $87,200<\/h2>\n<p>In a new Bear Pennant.<\/p>\n<p>A Pennant is a pattern from technical analysis (TA) that&#8217;s similar to a Flag. Both of these patterns are characterized by an initial sharp move (commonly known as the &#8220;pole&#8221;) and a subsequent phase of consolidation. But unlike Flags, which involve a parallel consolidation channel, Pennants involve a triangular channel instead.<\/p>\n<p>When the price is trading inside the consolidation portion of the Pennant, it encounters resistance at the upper line and support at the lower one. A breakout of either of these levels may signal a sustained move in that direction. Pennants are generally considered to be continuation patterns, so a move may be more likely to take place in the same direction as the pole. In a Bear Pennant, the pole is represented by a downward move, implying that a bearish continuation could succeed the pattern.<\/p>\n<p>Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the Bear Pennant that Bitcoin has been trading inside on the daily timeframe over the last couple of months:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/G-LJf2yWQAAr4Xr?format=jpg&amp;name=medium\" alt=\"Bitcoin Bear Pennant\" width=\"960\" height=\"1200\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin retested the upper line of the Pennant&#8217;s consolidation region when its price surged above $94,000. This retest ended up in rejection, and the coin has since retraced to lower levels.<\/p>\n<p>If the current trajectory in the cryptocurrency continues, it&#8217;s possible that a retest of the support level could take place, which is situated around $87,200. Since the pattern involved here is a Bear Pennant, BTC failing a retest of this line could signal a bearish breakout.<\/p>\n<p>Pennant breakouts are usually considered to lead to a move that&#8217;s similar to the pole in length. Based on this, BTC&#8217;s breakout target from the current pattern could lie near $69,000. &#8220;Bitcoin $BTC must hold above $87,200 to avoid a drop toward $69,230,&#8221; explained the analyst.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is currently also trading near an important on-chain level: the Active Realized Price. This indicator keeps track of the average cost basis of the active network participants. According to data from on-chain analytics firm <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/2009253874389987758\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Glassnode<\/a>, the Active Realized Price is located at $87,700 right now, meaning that the active investors are in a slight amount of net profit.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/G-JNs4tWUAAlJRM?format=jpg&amp;name=4096x4096\" alt=\"Bitcoin Active Realized Price\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>BTC Price<\/h2>\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $90,400, up more than 1% over the last week.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/BCqm3eNM\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price Chart\" width=\"1486\" height=\"915\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could risk a crash to $69,230 if the support level of this Bear Pennant doesn&#8217;t hold up. Bitcoin Might Need To Hold Above $87,200 In a new Bear Pennant. A Pennant is a pattern from technical analysis (TA) that&#8217;s similar to a Flag. Both of these patterns&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9392,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[56,4461,55,1784,61,62],"class_list":["post-9391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-bear-pennant","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-support","tag-btc","tag-btcusdt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9391","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9391\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9392"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinsvalue.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}